Recessions, Business Cycles and Looking Forward
January 14, 2009 at 14:05 PM EST
Forecasting cyclical turning points in the economy (and inflation) is job one at the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), a New York consultancy. In fact, it seems to do so rather well, or at least it has in the past. Notably, ECRI has earned some well-deserved praise in recent years for correctly predicting the 2001 [...]